Wednesday, 23 January 2019

Wednesday Scottish Premiership...

Here is the email that was just recently sent to clients showing my bets and my notes for the Scottish Premiership games tonight....

Wednesday Scottish Premiership Notes
A full card to focus on in the top flight tonight. I have put together my notes below on the games, some of which are a little rushed due to the fact team line ups are important in a few games and I have to wait a little bit for team line ups. All games kick off at 7.45pm. You will also see our bets for tonight shown below. 

St Johnstone vs Livingston
Advice: UNDER 2 Goals at 1.89 Pinnacle (1.80+)
Not a bet I take very often but this looks like being a very cagey affair this evening. Both sides are usually very well organised and Livi will turn up with their usual approach on the road and look to be very difficult to beat. They are also missing key striker Dolly Menga (16 starts this season) who is suspended. In the under table this season, both of these sides sit bottom of the table and the approach from both is usually to be difficult to break down. Conditions will also be very poor in Perth tonight and there really shouldn't be too much action in this one. I think the Under 2 line is a safe investment at 1.80+.

Celtic vs St Mirren
WAITING ON TEAM NEWS HERE....
Celtic: Bain; Lustig, Ajer, Benkovic, Izaguirre; Brown, McGregor; Forrest, Christie, Sinclair; Burke
St Mirren: Hladky; McGinn, Baird, Popescu, Erdahon, Hodson; McGinn, Lyons, Tansey, Flynn; Cooke
Slightly surprised Weah isn't given a start up top as Burke continues and it's the side that beat Airdrie at the weekend. 
It's a very defensive set up from the visitors and I'm surprised there is no Ferdinand or McAlister in that side for the experience alone. 5 players make their league debut tonight and in my opinion, this looks like a huge huge gamble from Oran Kearney especially going to Celtic Park. To ask a side to bed in so quick looks dangerous. Celtic know Rangers have a tough match at Rugby Park and they will be looking to win this with ease tonight. I don't think they will have too many problems looking at the line ups. Celtic -2.25 is value for me. 

Hearts vs Dundee
No Naismith for Hearts here is suspended but otherwise it's a pretty strong side. Dundee are very inexperienced and 3 players make their league debuts tonight. They sit bottom of the table and they are really threadbare right now. I am slightly against the -1.25 line but will take Hearts -1 in play should it become available (if scores 0-0) at 1.90+.

Motherwell vs Hibernian
Advice: HIBERNIAN -0.25 at 1.99 Pinnacle (1.86+)
Motherwell were shocking in their cup defeat to County on Saturday and Stephen Robinson is now under huge pressure. He has chopped and changed things again tonight and there is just no consistency within the squad. Hibs look very strong middle to front with Mallan, Bartley, Horgan and Gauld all supporting front man Kamberi who I really like. It should be tight but I like the look of this Hibs side and Motherwell are just far too inconsistent right now. Value on -0.25 at 1.86+

Summary of Bets
St Johnstone vs Livingston : UNDER 2 Goals at 1.88 (1.80+)
Celtic vs St Mirren : CELTIC -2.25 at 1.95 (1.82+)
Motherwell vs Hibernian : HIBERNIAN -0.25 at 1.99 (1.86+)

Hearts vs Dundee : HEARTS -1 LIVE IN PLAY if 1.90+ becomes available (if still 0-0)

All odds with Pinnacle.

Saturday, 19 January 2019

Saturday Scottish Cup...

I hope you got on Inverness last weekend which I posted on the blog as they beat a very threadbare Ayr side by 1 goal to nil. All 3 of our bets which I sent to clients last weekend were all winners giving us an excellent start to 2019. I have 3 bets for today in the Scottish Cup which have already been sent to clients via email and I am able to post one of those bets for you to have a look at below.

For information on joining my email service and receiving all of our bets, please get in touch for more information: thommobhoy@hotmail.com

Saturday Scottish Cup

Motherwell vs Ross County
Advice: MOTHERWELL -0.5 at 2.09 Pinnacle (1.86+)
It's cup day in Scotland and this is a classic game where I can see the home side treating this much more seriously this afternoon. Some people may not agree with that but Ross County surely have to put promotion from the championship ahead of any cup competition this season and they currently sit top of the championship table going into the final four months of the season. They come into this having lost their last 2 games though being hammered by Queens 4-0 last weekend and previously losing 1-0 at Morton. Their away form this season has actually been very poor. They also travel to Fir Park today with several players carrying knocks and I don't think key men will be risked as promotion will surely be the main aim as I previously said. Josh Mullin is also suspended having been sent off last weekend. Motherwell return from a three week break having had a week off in Tenerife and it has certainly freshened up their squad with many key man back in full training who were carrying a few knocks. They have also signed forward Ross McCormack for the rest of the season and that is an absolute coup for the club and has certainly lifted the morale around the place. This is a huge game for Stephen Robinson as they have far too hit and miss in the league this season and going out of the cup to a side in a division below them is unthinkable. As I said, County have got to prioritise the league over the cup and I do think they will rotate a little bit this afternoon. Motherwell will arrive the much fresher side and should have too much playing in front of their home crowd. -0.5 value at 1.86+.

Saturday, 12 January 2019

Saturday: Inverness vs Ayr United...

I have sent three bets to clients via email today and I am happy to post a preview of the Inverness vs Ayr game on the blog below for you to have a look at. I am very keen on the home side here and they offer excellent value for me this afternoon. If you wish to receive all of our advice via email, simply get in touch with me for more info on joining the service.

Scottish Championship
Inverness vs Ayr United
Advice: INVERNESS +0 at 1.80 Pinnacle 
(high stakes - level ball line huge value at 1.60+, smaller stakes on -0.5 at high odds, currently 2.48)
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Inverness vs Ayr United PREVIEW.....
This is a bet against the visitors today as they make the long trip north with a completely depleted squad this afternoon. The huge missing for Ayr today is the absence of the leagues top goalscorer Lawrence Shankland (18 goals in 18 games) who is injured today and he is simply irreplaceable for Ayr up top. Also missing is key midfield men Mark Kerr and Jamie Adams and Andy Murdoch is suspended and it really does leave this Ayr side looking very very thin. To add further insult to injury wide man Alan Forrest will also miss out. I can't put into words how important these players are for Ayr especially Shankland and Murdoch who are the engine room of the side and many of their fans who I know have already said they would bite your hand off for a point today. Ayr have had an excellent season so far but they haven't won in their last 4 and lost to struggling Falkirk last week and these missings will take their toll on what is already a thin squad. Inverness have lost their last two but were previously on a very promising run. They were 1 up against Queens last week until the 83rd minute and ended up losing despite dominating the match for long spells. They have won just 5 of their 19 games this season drawing far too many (11 draws) in the process but in they are a side who create many chances and they are due to hand out a thumping in my book. Brad McKay and Shaun Rooney are both suspended today but they have signed ex Hearts man Kevin McHattie who will probably come straight into the side today. There is huge value on the home side for me today looking at the problems Ayr have. It's also a very long trip for Ayr and having not won in 4 facing huge selection problems, they will do very well to get anything from this. Excellent value on the home side level ball and I also wouldn't put anyone off taking the -0.25 or -0.5 line as well but our strong advice will be +0. 

Saturday, 8 December 2018

Saturday: Hamilton vs Hibernian...

I have sent 5 bets to clients via email this morning and it's another busy Saturday for us. We have two in league one and two in league two as well as one in the Premiership and I am able to post our Premiership bet below including a short preview of the match....

Scottish Premiership
Hamilton vs Hibernian
Advice: OVER 2.5 Goals at 2.04 Pinnacle (1.86+)
This is the standout value bet in the Premiership games for me today. This all points to the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides this season and we really should see goals in this today. Accies have the worst defence in the league having conceded 36 goals in 16 games so far this season. Hibs have conceded 7 in their last 3 and since the absence of key right back David Gray, I have noticed them giving up a lot more chances and Neil Lennon has also been chopping and changing his system from 4 at the back to 3 and 5 and it hasn't helped things settle. There have been at least 3 goals in all of Accies last 4 games (4 in 3 of those) and some of their defending this season really has been school boy stuff, it is that bad at this level. You would normally look at Hibs as a safe investment here but they haven't won in 7 games now and they are conceding far too many soft goals. I can see this becoming very very stretched today once that first goal goes in and both sides will really feel like they can win this. This is superb value in my book and we are on at 1.86+.

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If you are interested to receive all of our bets and previews you can join our private email service, get in touch with me for more details. email: thommobhoy@hotmail.com

Thursday, 6 December 2018

Midweek Update...

A very good weekend for clients and an excellent start to December for us. We advised 5 bets on Saturday including Kilmarnock which we posted on the blog for you below (3-0 winners against Hibs). We had 3 wins and also continued our good form last night with just 1 bet in the Premiership matches which gave us another win. We were very strong on the over 2.5 line in Hibs vs St Mirren last night and the match finished 2-2 giving us another easy win and putting us in +1.95 units profit for December already. 

November ended with +4.49 and the season is now really starting to roll for the service. December is a very very busy month with many games over the festive period and there is no slowing down with another full card to focus on this Saturday. We still have positions available on the email service if you are interested to join and receive all of our bets and previews via email. 

For more information on how to join, email me at thommobhoy@hotmail.com 

Saturday, 1 December 2018

Saturday: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian...

A very busy day for us with 5 bets spread across all four divisions in Scotland, these have already been sent out to clients via email earlier this morning. 

We have one bet in the Premiership and with the odds holding up, I am able to share this on the blog with you as shown below...

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
Advice: KILMARNOCK +0 at 2.05 Pinnacle (1.90+)
I am genuinely struggling to understand the odds in this one. I had Kilmarnock marginal favs on my own book and yet Hibs are rated favs away from home. Killie have lost just 1 of their last 9 league games and that was an unlucky home defeat to Aberdeen with the Dons having 2 shots on target and scoring 2 goals. They are generally very solid at home under Stevie Clarke and their artificial surface can be difficult for sides to play on. Hibs were excellent last season but this season they have started to feel the absence of John McGinn who was sold to Aston Villa. They are nowhere near the side of last season based on performances I have seen and they have failed to win in their last 5 games and threw away a 2-0 lead at home to bottom side Dundee last week. They have simply not defended as well or passed the ball with the same fluency in the last month or so and it's actually starting to look like slightly worrying teams for Lennons side. Key right back David Gray remains a doubt for them today and many of the fans have been suggesting Lennon has simply chopped and changed things far too much this season. This is very simple for me, Killie should have the edge in this match especially at Rugby Park and we simply have to get involved at the odds on offer. Results and performances this season all point to a home win here and with the safety of the draw on our side here I rate this excellent value this afternoon. 

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To receive all of our info via email including our lower league advice/previews, you can enquire to join our email service, please email me at thommobhoy@hotmail.com for further information 

Friday, 30 November 2018

Busy Weekend Ahead...

A very busy weekend in store for clients as I like a lot of games over the weekend with value available in all four divisions I feel. 

We have Dundee Utd vs Ayr at Tannadice tonight and we will be sending a preview of that game to clients later this afternoon. A busy day tomorrow with action in all four divisions and early indications suggest we will have at least two high info bets in the lower leagues tomorrow and one advice in the Premiership games. The action rounds off on Sunday with Celtic vs Aberdeen in the league cup final and I will be writing a full preview of that game with a strong advice again expected in the match. We will be sending around 3 or 4 emails to clients over the weekend with our previews and advice starting this afternoon with our advice on United vs Ayr for this evening. 

To receive all of our emails which include our advice and previews, you can email me for more information on the service and how to join. I will look to post a few previews on the blog over the weekend if time allows. I will try and get a preview of Kilmarnock vs Hibs on tomorrow morning and will then post our full preview of the league cup final on Sunday morning. 

Tuesday, 27 November 2018

Tuesday: Cowdenbeath vs Queens Park...

Here is a copy of our email which was sent to clients earlier today. As you can see we have one bet for tonight in the league two match at Central Park...

One bet for tonight as shown below. We are 6 wins from 6 bets in November so lets hope we can get a win tonight to make it 7 from 7. I see excellent value available on this game tonight and I have written a full preview for you to have a look at.

Scottish League Two
Cowdenbeath vs Queens Park
Advice: OVER 2.25 Goals at 2.02 Pinnacle (1.82+)
Not very often you see a 2.25 line in these lower division games and although this does look like a cagey affair, I think we have excellent value on the over line tonight. Both sides have transformed in recent months with Gary Bollan taking over at Cowdenbeath and Mark Roberts at Queens. The new managers have been doing well so far with Cowden losing just 2 of their last 7 (both against Elgin) and winning the other 5. In their last few games they have looked much more solid defensively. They were 1-0 winners against Highland side Brora Rangers in the cup at the weekend and reports suggest they may just have been a little lucky in that match. The big problem for them tonight in my opinion is the suspension of key right back Fraser Mullen and this means Bollan will have to change things around at the back. They have been giving up chances in recent games but have improved at the other end and Queens are a side who threaten out wide and this could be a problem for the home side this evening. Queens were on a 6 game unbeaten run before their last 2 cup games where they lost 2-1 in the challenge cup to Welsh side Connah before being hammered 3-0 by Raith on Saturday (we were on Raith -1). Queens are a side who do pass the ball well and they did create chances in that game but they do remain vulnerable to a bit of class up top and that has been the difference in their last few games. Like Cowden, the visitors do have a key suspension problem tonight with defensive midfield man Dom McLaren missing and that means Roberts will also have to change things around. The match between these sides earlier in the season ended 0-0 at Hampden but there were many many chances in that match and I do believe both sides have improved up top since then. The absence of Mullen for Cowden and McLaren for Queens certainly weakens both defensively and we should see plenty of chances in this game tonight. Both sides will feel they can win this and the 2.25 line is far too generous for me to over look here. Value on this at 1.82+. 

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SPECIAL OFFER
If you would be interested to join the email service and receive all of our info via email and/or skype/whatsapp, get in touch with me for more details. As we approach December we have a SPECIAL half season offer available for any clients looking to join the service. Email: thommobhoy@hotmail.com for further details.

Happy November!...

November has been a pretty quiet month for us in terms of the number of bets (we have also had to deal with Internationals which we don't bet on) but so far it has been an excellent month with all 6 bets we have advised all winning. I have also ranked all 6 as very high info bets such is the info we have received on them and for example the likes of Dumbarton were rated as one of our highest bets of the season and some clients would have placed double on them.

10th November
Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton
Advice: Dumbarton -0.5 at 1.90 (1.65+)
Result: 2-1 Dumbarton

17th November
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
Advice: Raith -0.5 at 1.90 (1.60+)
Result: 3-1 Raith

Annan vs Stirling
Advice: Over 2.75 Goals at 1.90 (1.65+)
Result: 2-2 Draw

20th November
Dundee Utd vs Alloa
Advice: Dundee Utd -1.5 at 2.19 (2.02+)
Result: 4-2 Dundee Utd

24th November
Alloa vs Brechin
Advice: Alloa -1 at 2.08 (1.80+)
Result: 3-0 Alloa

Queens Park vs Raith 
Advice: Raith -1 at 2.02 (1.80+)
Result: 3-0 Raith

November Stats
Bets: 6
Staked: 6
Win: 6
Profit: +5.99
Yield: 99.8%

As you can see we have been very selective but quality over quantity I believe is absolutely key in this game. We do have one final game for November tonight which I may post on the blog later (it has already been sent to clients) before we move into December. 

SPECIAL OFFER
If you would be interested to join the service and receive all of our info via email and/or skype/whatsapp, get in touch with me for more details. As we approach December we have a SPECIAL half season offer available for any clients looking to join the service. Email: thommobhoy@hotmail.com for further details.


Tuesday, 20 November 2018

Tuesday Scottish Championship...

Things have been going very well lately, the last few rounds have been very selective but we have had 3 wins from 3 bets. Dumbarton -0.5 at Stenhousemuir last weekend and on Saturday we advised Raith -0.75 at Stenny and Over 2.75 in Annan vs Stirling with all 3 games delivering full wins for us.

We received info for the Raith and Dumbarton games classing them as our highest bets so clients made an extra profit from betting even more on these games. 

We have one game for tonight and I am happy to share it on the blog as shown below. If you are interested to receive all of our high info, please get in touch with me for more information on our email service.

Scottish Championship
Dundee Utd vs Alloa
Advice: DUNDEE UTD -1.5 at 2.19 Pinnacle (2.02+)
United are flying since Neilson took over and will see this as a huge chance with Ayr slipping up on Saturday. Alloa are the only part time side in the league so these midweek matches really don’t suit them. They also struggled at the weekend going all the way to pens vs Edin City in the challenge cup. United are much fresher and are a class apart. Comfortable home win. -1.5 at 2.02+.